One of the biggest factors in ALL bowl games is something that can’t be determined by any form of handicapping, stats, computer algorithms, etc., and that’s trying to figure out which teams show up or not in their bowl game. That’s why backing a disciplined team like Air Force makes sense. As with all military academies, they give 100% until the final whistle no matter the score. They will show up and be ready.

Event: (235) WASHINGTON STATE at (236) Air Force
Date/Time: December 27, 2019 10PM EST
Play: Air Force -2.5 (-108)

Washington State finished 6-6 (4-8 ATS) after a promising 3-0 start and #19 ranking in the polls. After a 67-63 home loss to UCLA as -18 point home favorites on September 21st, things started to unravel, and the Cougars finished 3-6 down the stretch. Wazzu has a prolific offense that ranks #6 in total offense (516 ypg) and #11 in scoring (39 ppg), but the defense is just as bad as the offense is good, ranking #113 in total “D” (456 ypg) and 94th in scoring defense (31.4 ppg). Air Force had a great season, finishing 10-2 SU and 7-5 ATS. The Falcons finished out the year on a 7-0 run (5-2 ATS) after a devastating 34-25 loss at Navy on October 5th. Air Force was solid on both sides of the ball this year, ranking #3 in total rushing (274 ypg) and #16 in total defense (315 ypg). Air Force is 21-7 ATS vs. non-conference teams and 5-2 ATS in its last seven bowl games. Washington State is 15-7 ATS as a dog, but the Cougars are on a current 4-10 ATS run overall, 4-6 ATS in its last 10 bowl games and 7-14 ATS in neutral site games. WSU ranks 129th out of 130 teams in rushing with a paltry 72 rush ypg making Air Force a good candidate to outrush the Cougars by a 2-to-1 margin or more. This season, teams that outrushed their opponent by a 2-to-1 margin or more were an amazing 301-109 ATS (73%)!

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Mark “Shark” Simons has been a pioneer and a fixture in the sports betting industry since 1981 and has compiled an impressive resume since that time. Shark has been handicapping and betting games over the last four decades and had a second-place finish in the prestigious Stardust Invitational Handicapping Contest in 1999. Shark’s years of experience gives him a keen insight on line value, line moves, injury value and other key intangibles vital to understanding the sports betting market.

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Mark Simons

Mark "Shark" Simons has been a pioneer and a fixture in the sports betting industry since 1981 and has compiled an impressive resume since that time. Shark was the line service manager for Jim Feist's National Sports Services from 1981-1993, manager of Don Best Sports from 1993-2000, manager of Sports Options from 2008-2016 and manager of Don Best Sports once again in 2017-2018.Shark was also the co-host of the Don Best Radio Show from 1998-2000 and has had guest appearances on several sports betting-related radio shows in Las Vegas. In addition, Shark wrote a weekly column for Buzz Daly's Player Guide in the early 2000's, wrote college football game analysis for Sports Options and has also provided content for Texas Sports Wire.Shark has been handicapping and betting games over the last four decades and had a second-place finish in the prestigious Stardust Invitational Handicapping Contest in 1999. Shark's years of experience give him a keen insight on line value, line moves, injury value and other key intangibles vital to understanding the sports betting market.

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