Western Michigan rolled over FCS Monmouth in a 48-13 home win as -26 point favorites. Jon Wassink completed an efficient 20-of-25 passes for 368 yards and 5 TDs to lead the Broncos. WMU sprinted out to a 21-0 lead and never looked back. The offense was very effective, scoring on every possession until the final one.

Event: WMU at Michigan State
Sport/League: CFB
Date/Time: September 7, 2019 7:30pm EDT
Play: Western Michigan +16

The Broncos, who are expected to compete for the MAC-West title this fall, are a returning starter team with ten starters on a defense that ranked 57th (387 ypg). The offense has seven starters returning, including Wassink, who threw for 1,994 yards with 16 TDs and 6 picks in nine starts before going down with a season-ending foot injury in a 51-24 home loss vs. Toledo on October 25th.

Michigan State comes off yet another uninspiring offensive performance, this time in a 28-7 home win over Tulsa as -23½ point favorites in the season opener. The big question coming into this season was how Michigan State’s offense would look after the Spartans scored only 32 points over the final four games of 2018, including just 6 points in a 7-6 loss to Oregon in their bowl game. QB Brian Lewerke connected on 21-of-37 passes for 192 yards with a TD and no picks as MSU had a decisive 303-80 edge in total yards. The Michigan State defense, which is one of the best in the land, held Tulsa to minus -73 yards rushing. The Spartans have 17 starters back this year and the defense will be the strength of the team again this fall.

Last meeting between these two in-state schools was in 2017, a 28-14 MSU win as -7 point favorites. Michigan State is on a 12-15 ATS run, 21-25 ATS as a home fav between -10½ and -21 points and 1-7 ATS at home lately. The Spartans are also 0-5 ATS in non-conference games and 0-5 ATS overall. Meanwhile, WMU is 14-6 ATS in September and RSTs (teams with at least seven offensive and seven defensive starters, plus QB and coach back) were 27-14 ATS (65.8%) as an underdog in the month of September last season; and RSTs are now 36-20 ATS (64.2%) as a double-digit underdog dating back to last season (3-2 ATS this year). Western Michigan is a senior-laden team and this senior class was part of the 2016 team that went 13-0 in the regular season and lost 24-16 (+8) to Wisconsin in the Cotton Bowl. Until things change with the MSU offense, can’t lay double-digits with Sparty. Take the points!

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Buckeye State Showdown
Shark has the winner in the Cincinnati/Ohio State game. Cincinnati opened up this season with a 24-14 home win over UCLA as -4½ point favorites, while Ohio State raced out to a 28-0 lead over FAU but didn’t get the cover in a 45-21 home win as -27½ point favorites. Check out Shark’s analysis and get your day started with a winner from the Buckeye State!

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Mark Simons

Mark "Shark" Simons has been a pioneer and a fixture in the sports betting industry since 1981 and has compiled an impressive resume since that time. Shark was the line service manager for Jim Feist's National Sports Services from 1981-1993, manager of Don Best Sports from 1993-2000, manager of Sports Options from 2008-2016 and manager of Don Best Sports once again in 2017-2018.Shark was also the co-host of the Don Best Radio Show from 1998-2000 and has had guest appearances on several sports betting-related radio shows in Las Vegas. In addition, Shark wrote a weekly column for Buzz Daly's Player Guide in the early 2000's, wrote college football game analysis for Sports Options and has also provided content for Texas Sports Wire.Shark has been handicapping and betting games over the last four decades and had a second-place finish in the prestigious Stardust Invitational Handicapping Contest in 1999. Shark's years of experience give him a keen insight on line value, line moves, injury value and other key intangibles vital to understanding the sports betting market.

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