Handicappers often have a problem with overthinking games, looking for excuses NOT to back elite teams laying points against weak foes. We saw that on full display this past Monday Night when the wiseguys came up with 46 different reasons why the Bills were a good bet against the Patriots; ignoring the one clear case for New England – Patriots good, Bills bad. It was a similar story for Rams – 49ers two weeks ago – wiseguy $$ for San Fran as a home dog, followed by a thorough thrashing at the hands of an elite foe.

We’re seeing a similar betting trend this week as the Chiefs travel to Cleveland. Yes, the public likes the favorite, but ‘sharp’ $$ has shown for the Browns, keeping this pointspread in a very reasonable range in a matchup of ‘Hot vs. Not’.

It’s been week filled with distractions for the Browns. Head coach Hue Jackson finally got fired. Offensive coordinator Todd Haley was shown the door as well. For a struggling rookie QB like Baker Mayfield (4 TD’s vs. 5 INT’s L3 weeks), these changes cannot be considered a good thing. The Browns defense is completely worn down off three OT games in the last five weeks. And we know what interim head coach/defensive coordinator Greg Williams is likely to do defensively this week; a guy who loves to blitz on every down. Williams certainly has a lot of roles to fill this week – I do not trust the Browns preparation level against an offense of this caliber.

Yes, it’s a ‘letdown’ spot for KC off a big divisional win against the Broncos. But KC’s defense continues to get better by the week, with Dee Ford coming off a three sack effort. Take out the game against the Patriots in New England and this D has allowed only 47 points in their last three contests; an UNDER-rated unit based on their season long stats.

Patrick Mahomes hasn’t had a truly bad game yet, and I love the concept of KC’s elite receivers facing single coverage while Coach Williams is trying to create pressure with blitzes. KC has scored at least 27 points in every game this season; averaging 36 points per game. Even in a flat spot, I expect this KC offense to continue lighting up the scoreboard; bad news for a Browns team that has scored more than 23 points only once all year – against the same defense that made Nick Mullins look like a pro bowler in his first NFL start this past Thursday Night. Take the Chiefs.


Teddy delivered another PERFECT SWEEP in the NFL last week! He is hitting 71{84ccd47921e566787b7405b472ea36582b7bea78c60faedb5d55493d43c879f0} in the NFL this year! He’s 18-5 (78{84ccd47921e566787b7405b472ea36582b7bea78c60faedb5d55493d43c879f0}) w’ his NFL sides & 6-1 (86{84ccd47921e566787b7405b472ea36582b7bea78c60faedb5d55493d43c879f0}) w’ his NFL 5{84ccd47921e566787b7405b472ea36582b7bea78c60faedb5d55493d43c879f0} Big Tickets. Teddy’s making big $$ in the NBA too, hitting 70{84ccd47921e566787b7405b472ea36582b7bea78c60faedb5d55493d43c879f0} for the FULL SEASON! And his college football is at 56{84ccd47921e566787b7405b472ea36582b7bea78c60faedb5d55493d43c879f0} for the season! Don’t miss a single ‘right side’ winner all weekend long!

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Teddy Covers

After graduating from the University of Michigan in Ann Arbor, Ted Sevransky, better known as Teddy Covers, burst onto the Las Vegas handicapping scene with a top 10 finish in the 1999 Hilton SuperContest. He’s been betting as a successful professional in Las Vegas ever since. Some handicappers need a detailed biography. Teddy doesn’t – a quick Google search shows how big of an impact he’s had on the sports betting world over the past two decades including 2015's remarkable 99-58 63{84ccd47921e566787b7405b472ea36582b7bea78c60faedb5d55493d43c879f0} +47.1 unit college and NFL season. And a brief look at the recap section at Sportsmemo will give you a clear idea about the type of detailed, in-depth analysis Teddy provides to his clients with each and every play that he releases. Check out some of the notority Teddy Covers has earned... Featured in the Super Bowl sports betting documentary Life on the Line. Teddy in the New York Times here, here, here and here. Teddy’s college basketball analysis on ESPN.com. Talking NFL on Vice Sports, Bloomberg TV, The Washington Post and PBS. Discussing March Madness on CBS. Breaking down the NBA for Cigar Aficionado. The list goes on and on. Teddy gets the national publicity because he’s earned it by delivering a career filled with very satisfied clients. Sign up for a weekly, monthly or seasonal package RIGHT NOW and let Teddy put his expertise to work for you!

Teddy Covers has 40 posts and counting. See all posts by Teddy Covers

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