I mentioned in the first leg when I took Dortmund +0.25 that I ultimately thought PSG would move on and that hasn’t changed for me. PSG got the important away goal in their 1-2 loss at Dortmund in the first leg and besides that match, have not lost a game since November 1, with 23 wins and three draws. At home, they haven’t scored less than three goals in their last eight games, with seven of those netting at least four.

Event: Borussia Dortmund at Paris Saint-Germain
Sport/League: SOC
Date/Time: March 11, 2020 4PM EDT
Play: Paris Saint-Germain to Advance (-115)

They are 16-1-1 at home this season including 3-0 in the group stage with a 3-0 win over Real Madrid. Their match this past weekend was postponed due to Coronavirus concerns which just gave them a little more rest for this match. The team is fully healthy and right now, the sum of Mbappe, Neymar, Di Maria is greater than Haaland, Hazard and Sancho.

Speaking of which, Haaland has the skills and goal scoring pedigree to single handedly will Dortmund onto the next round, but his youth could hurt him here as this competition against the best in the world is different. Dortmund have done almost nothing but win since his arrival, with eight wins and two losses, but even this past weekend at Gladbach showed signs of potential problems. They leave too much space for their opponents and even though they won 2-1, Gladbach was the better team and had better chances winning the xG battle 2.61 to 1.28. While xG can often be thrown out the window in this one-off type of games, especially with a guy like Haaland who is scoring at the highest clip in Europe, they do show vulnerability and paint a better picture of what’s really happening on the field more than the score. I think we see PSG win this match and move on to the next round.

3% TAKE PSG TO ADVANCE

Line Parameter: 3% to -130

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Borrman fell in love with professional ‘football’ (as anyone outside of the United States would refer to it) the first time he attended an MLS game seven years ago. Now, he uses statistical analysis as well as current trends to successfully find value on soccer matches across the globe. Borrman focuses much of his attention on the Premier League, La Liga, Ligue 1, Bundesliga and Serie A, as well as the most prestigious tournament of them all, the Champions League.

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Nick Borrman

Nick Borro has carved out a name for himself betting on soccer. He fell in love with professional ‘football’ (as anyone outside of the United States would refer to it) the first time he attended an MLS game seven years ago. Now, Borro uses statistical analysis as well as current trends to successfully find value on soccer matches across the globe.Unlike professional sports in the United States, the best players in the world reside in Europe’s big five leagues including the Premier League, La Liga, Ligue 1, Bundesliga and Serie A,as well as the most prestigious tournament of them all The Champions League. Here is where you will find Borro focusing his attention during the fall to spring season.Of course, you can’t forget the fast-growing MLS which finishes the year-round soccer schedule through the summer months in North America. MLS is now ahead of both the NHL and NBA in average fan attendance per game and continues to grow, seeing expansion teams added to the league in three of the last four years, as well as future expansion teams scheduled to be added in both 2019 and 2020.Borro has been around sports his entire life. He grew up playing basketball, football and golf, and eventually found his career working in the golf business as a Class A PGA Professional.Join Borro to beat the industry in the biggest professional sport in the world.

Nick Borrman has 27 posts and counting. See all posts by Nick Borrman

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